Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
- 49%
- —
- J.D. Vance
- 47%
- +1.4
- Marco Rubio
- 23%
- —
- Ron DeSantis
- 3%
- —
- Donald Trump
- 2%
- —
- Tucker Carlson
- 2%
- —
- Donald Trump Jr.
- 2%
- —
- Glenn Youngkin
- 1%
- —
- Vivek Ramaswamy
- 1%
- —
- Ted Cruz
- 1%
- —
- Elon Musk
- 1%
- —
- Thomas Massie
- 1%
- —
- Greg Abbott
- 1%
- —
- Ivanka Trump
- 1%
- —
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders
- 1%
- —
- Rand Paul
- 1%
- —
- Tulsi Gabbard
- 0%
- —
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
- 0%
- —
- Byron Donalds
- 0%
- —
- Elise Stefanik
- 0%
- —
- Steve Bannon
- 0%
- —
- Marjorie Taylor Greene
- 0%
- —
- Nikki Haley
- 0%
- —
- Brian Kemp
- 0%
- —
- Josh Hawley
- 0%
- —
- Katie Britt
- 0%
- —
- Kim Kardashian
- 0%
- —
- Eric Trump
- 0%
- —
- Kristi Noem
- 0%
- —
- Mike Pence
- 0%
- —
- Tom Brady
- 0%
- —
- Erika Kirk
- 0%
- —
- Joe Kent
- 0%
- —
- Pete Hegseth
- 0%
- —
- Candace Owens
- 0%
- —
- Matt Gaetz
- 0%
- —
- John Thune
- 0%
- —
- Tim Scott
- 0%
- —
- Doug Burgum
- 0%
- —
- Tom Cotton
- 0%
- —
- John N. Kennedy
- 0%
- —
- Rick Scott
- 0%
- —
- Mike Johnson
- 0%
- —
Traders currently price "Robert F. Kennedy Jr." at 49% for "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028". Full distribution: Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 49%, J.D. Vance 47%, Marco Rubio 23%, Ron DeSantis 3%. The market has traded $688.0M in total volume and resolves Nov 7, 2028. RFK Jr. and JD Vance remain tightly matched in the 2028 Republican presidential nomination market because both hold prominent administration roles—HHS secretary and vice president—that position them to consolidate support from overlapping voter coalitions in a post-Trump party. Recent developments include RFK Jr.'s national health-focused events and Vance's fundraising and visibility as the sitting VP, keeping trader attention split amid uncertainty over any future endorsement dynamics or primary field expansion. Other names like Marco Rubio trail significantly, reflecting narrower bases at this early stage, while the race's closeness stems from limited polling data, undecided party leadership signals, and the long timeline to 2028 primaries that allows multiple paths to separation through legislative records, campaign organization, or shifting alliances.
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