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Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

No96%
// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES
No
96%
Yes
4%
VOLUME
$99K
24H VOLUME
$6
LIQUIDITY
$6K
RESOLVES
Jan 1, 2027

Traders currently price "No" at 96% for "Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?". The market has traded $99K in total volume and resolves Jan 1, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy incorporated is margin called on any of its Bitcoin-backed loans by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resulting in either a forced liquidation of Bitcoin by a lender or MicroStrategy posting additional collateral or making a loan repayment in response to the margin call. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A margin call is defined as a lender formally requiring MicroStrategy to either provide additional collateral or repay part of a loan due to the value of Bitcoin collateral falling below the required loan-to-value (LTV) ratio. Voluntary Bitcoin sales by MicroStrategy that are not explicitly in response to a margin call will not count. The primary resolution sources will be SEC filings, official MicroStrategy statements, and a consensus of credible financial reporting.

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