Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

Traders currently price "December 31" at 17% for "Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved down 0.5 points. Full distribution: December 31 17%, January 9 0%, January 31 0%. The market has traded $1.4M in total volume and resolves Jan 31, 2026. Cilia Flores, wife of ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, has remained in U.S. federal pretrial detention in Brooklyn since their January 3, 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Both face drug trafficking charges in Manhattan federal court, where they pleaded not guilty; a judge set their joint trial for June 2027 after rejecting early dismissal attempts based on sovereign immunity claims. No bail motions have been filed. Trader focus on possible release centers on unconfirmed speculation about U.S.-Venezuela diplomatic negotiations that could produce a negotiated outcome before year-end, though no official statements or procedural shifts have confirmed such developments as of mid-August.

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