Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
- 3.1%+
- 60%
- —
- 2.8-3.0%
- 17%
- —
- <1.0%
- 8%
- −1.7
- 2.5–2.7%
- 7%
- —
- 2.2–2.4%
- 7%
- +2.6
- 1.6–1.8%
- 5%
- —
- 1.0–1.2%
- 4%
- −2.6
- 1.9–2.1%
- 1%
- —
- 1.3–1.5%
- 1%
- —
Traders currently price "3.1%+" at 60% for "Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026". Full distribution: 3.1%+ 60%, 2.8-3.0% 17%, <1.0% 8%, 2.5–2.7% 7%. The market has traded $105K in total volume and resolves Jan 19, 2027. Recent Eurozone HICP data show headline inflation rising to 2.9% in July 2026 from 2.8% in June, driven by energy prices accelerating to 10.0% amid renewed geopolitical tensions, while core measures edged higher to 2.5%. ECB June 2026 staff projections place the full-year 2026 average at 3.0%, prompting a 25-basis-point rate hike and reinforcing trader views that sticky services and energy components will keep the annual print above 3.1%. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 3.1%+ bucket at 59.8% because recent upward revisions in inflation forecasts and persistent above-target readings outweigh earlier expectations of faster disinflation. Key near-term catalysts include the August 19 CPI release and any further ECB communications on the rate path.
Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.