Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Traders currently price "$150M" at 72% for "Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 0.5 points. Full distribution: $150M 72%, $300M 36%, $500M 14%, $800M 7%. The market has traded $3.4M in total volume and resolves Jan 1, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.