Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?

Traders currently price "No" at 79% for "Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved down 4.0 points. The market has traded $355K in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Gianni Infantino's position appears secure through year-end because more than 200 of FIFA's 211 member associations have formally endorsed his re-election bid ahead of the March 2027 congress, giving him a broad base of support across confederations like CAF and CONMEBOL. Recent pressure from UEFA, CONCACAF, and AFC over a scrapped commercial rights proposal has prompted resignation calls and withdrawn European backing, yet these moves lack the votes or procedural path to force an exit before December 31. Infantino has countered by exploring a 64-team 2030 World Cup expansion to court additional allies and by leveraging the 2026 tournament's commercial momentum. With candidate filing deadlines still months away and no interim removal mechanism in the statutes, trader consensus reflects the limited window for any leadership change in the coming months.

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