Highest temperature in Ankara on August 14?

This market has settled: "27°C" was the outcome, priced at 100% at close. Full distribution: 27°C 100%, 23°C or below 0%, 24°C 0%, 25°C 0%. The market has traded $44K in total volume and resolved Aug 14, 2026. Recent meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate Ankara will reach a daily maximum of 27°C on August 14 under stable high-pressure conditions, light northeasterly winds, and mostly clear skies that limit afternoon heating. This aligns closely with climatological averages for mid-August in the Anatolian plateau, where daytime highs typically range 27–30°C absent unusual advection or moisture. Official monitoring stations, such as those operated by Turkish meteorological services, provide the resolution data, with trader consensus reflecting high confidence in these guidance products. A late-day convective cell, revised model run showing stronger insolation, or localized urban heat-island effects could still shift the recorded peak by 1–2°C.

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