Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 14?

This market has settled: "34°C" was the outcome, priced at 100% at close. Full distribution: 34°C 100%, 26°C or below 0%, 27°C 0%, 28°C 0%. The market has traded $63K in total volume and resolved Aug 14, 2026. Recent official forecasts and early observations from Indian Meteorological Department stations indicate a daily maximum of 34°C in Lucknow on August 14, aligning with monsoon-season patterns where persistent cloud cover and humidity moderate peaks near seasonal averages of 31–33°C. Multiple model runs converge on this value amid light rain or thundershowers that limit afternoon heating, supporting the near-certain market-implied odds. This consensus reflects verified surface data rather than projections, though slight variations in timing of convective activity or station-specific readings could shift the recorded high by 1°C in either direction.

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