Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Traders currently price "No" at 86% for " Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?". The market has traded $1.6M in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear talks following the June 2026 memorandum of understanding have deferred resolution of uranium enrichment, with core disagreements persisting over Iran's insistence on domestic enrichment rights and US demands for extended suspensions or limits. Recent airstrikes damaged select facilities yet left substantial stockpiles of near-weapons-grade material intact, while IAEA monitoring remains restricted and breakout timelines stay compressed. Negotiators continue addressing verification, stockpile handling, and sanctions relief during the ceasefire window, but Iranian officials have repeatedly identified full cessation of enrichment as incompatible with national policy. These entrenched positions and lack of breakthrough since the MOU sustain trader consensus against an agreement by year-end.

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