Iran coup attempt by...?

Traders currently price "December 31" at 12% for "Iran coup attempt by...?". The market has traded $2.1M in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Iran's post-conflict political environment features intensifying factional tensions after Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's death, with hardline lawmakers publicly accusing President Masoud Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf of sidelining rivals such as Mojtaba Khamenei and shifting authority to the Supreme Council for National Security during US truce talks. These July 2026 accusations of a "political coup" build on earlier unverified reports of January internal challenges and follow the violent suppression of 2025–2026 protests amid economic strain and the February–June war with the US and Israel. Traders monitor elite infighting, any renewal of unrest, or further diplomatic developments through year-end, as no widely reported coup attempt has materialized despite the heightened uncertainty.

Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.