Largest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA
- 86%
- +2.0
- Company F
- 50%
- —
- Company G
- 50%
- —
- Company H
- 50%
- —
- Company I
- 50%
- —
- Company J
- 50%
- —
- Company K
- 50%
- —
- Company L
- 50%
- —
- Company M
- 50%
- —
- Company N
- 50%
- —
- Company O
- 50%
- —
- Company P
- 50%
- —
- Company Q
- 50%
- —
- Company R
- 50%
- —
- Company S
- 50%
- —
- Company T
- 50%
- —
- Other
- 50%
- —
- Apple
- 10%
- −1.0
- Alphabet
- 5%
- −1.5
- Amazon
- 1%
- —
- Tesla
- 0%
- —
- Saudi Aramco
- 0%
- —
- Broadcom
- 0%
- —
- Microsoft
- 0%
- —
- SpaceX
- 0%
- —
Traders currently price "NVIDIA" at 86% for "Largest Company end of September?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 2.0 points. Full distribution: NVIDIA 86%, Company F 50%, Company G 50%, Company H 50%. The market has traded $123K in total volume and resolves Sep 30, 2026. NVIDIA holds a commanding lead as the world's largest company by market capitalization, currently valued above $5.2 trillion amid robust demand for its AI accelerators and GPUs. This positioning underpins the market's strong 85.5% implied probability that it remains on top at the end of September, with only weeks remaining and limited time for rivals like Apple or Alphabet to close the gap through earnings or announcements. Recent AI-driven revenue growth and supply-chain strength have reinforced trader consensus, while lower odds for Microsoft, Amazon, and others reflect their more distant valuations and slower near-term momentum. Any shift would likely require unexpected negative catalysts for NVIDIA or outsized gains elsewhere before resolution.
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