MACROLIVE

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Game 1 Winner100%▲ 17.0pt 24h

// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES

Game 1 Winner: 100%; +17.0
Game 2 Winner: 100%; +17.9
Game 3 Winner: 100%; +17.9
Match Winner: 100%; +6.5
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5): 100%; +13.5
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5): 100%; +40.5
Both Teams Slay a Dragon: 100%; +29.0
Odd/Even Total Kills: 100%; +49.5
Odd/Even Total Kills: 100%; +49.5
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor: 100%; +62.0
Both Teams Slay a Dragon: 100%; +33.0
First Blood in Game 2?: 100%; +26.5
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?: 100%; +50.4
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?: 100%; +50.0
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?: 100%; +62.5
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?: 100%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?: 100%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?: 100%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?: 100%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?: 100%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?: 100%; —
Game 4 Winner: 50%; −13.0
Any Player Quadra Kill: 50%; —
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor: 50%; −0.5
Both Teams Slay a Dragon: 50%; +2.0
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors: 50%; −1.0
Any Player Quadra Kill: 50%; −0.5
Any Player Penta Kill: 50%; —
Odd/Even Total Kills: 50%; —
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor: 50%; −0.5
Both Teams Slay a Dragon: 50%; +0.5
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors: 50%; —
Any Player Quadra Kill: 50%; −0.5
Any Player Penta Kill: 50%; −1.0
Odd/Even Total Kills: 50%; —
First Blood in Game 4?: 50%; −22.0
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?: 50%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?: 50%; +0.5
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?: 50%; —
O/U 3.5 Games: 0%; −40.5
O/U 4.5 Games: 0%; −13.0
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor: 0%; −28.0
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors: 0%; −27.5
Any Player Quadra Kill: 0%; −37.0
Any Player Penta Kill: 0%; −27.5
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor: 0%; −37.5
Both Teams Slay a Dragon: 0%; −66.5
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors: 0%; −37.0
Any Player Penta Kill: 0%; −37.0
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors: 0%; −33.0
Any Player Quadra Kill: 0%; −37.5
Any Player Penta Kill: 0%; −43.0
Odd/Even Total Kills: 0%; −50.0
First Blood in Game 3?: 0%; −73.5
First Blood in Game 1?: 0%; −73.5
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?: 0%; −71.0
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?: 0%; −66.5
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?: 0%; −50.4
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?: 0%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 2?: 0%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 3?: 0%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 3?: 0%; —

VOLUME

$6.3M

24H VOLUME

LIQUIDITY

RESOLVES

Jul 6, 2026

Traders currently price "Game 1 Winner" at 100% for "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 17.0 points. Full distribution: Game 1 Winner 100%, Game 2 Winner 100%, Game 3 Winner 100%, Match Winner 100%. The market has traded $6.3M in total volume and resolves Jul 6, 2026. Bilibili Gaming entered this MSI 2026 upper bracket BO5 as clear favorites against North American side LYON, reflecting LPL depth and recent form. BLG advanced with strong performances across the bracket stage, leveraging experienced players like Knight and Viper in a fearless draft setup. LYON reached the matchup after a 3-0 win over FURIA but faced a steep stylistic mismatch against BLG's coordinated macro and mid-lane control. Recent patch trends favored aggressive jungle paths that suited BLG's roster, while home-region play in Daejeon added minor travel considerations for the LCS team. The series resolved quickly in BLG's favor, underscoring the competitive gap typical in LPL versus LCS cross-regional play.

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