MLB: Batting Average Leader

Traders currently price "Yordan Alvarez" at 32% for "MLB: Batting Average Leader". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved down 4.0 points. Full distribution: Yordan Alvarez 32%, Luis Arraez 28%, Otto Lopez 12%, Yandy Díaz 4%. The market has traded $1.3M in total volume and resolves Sep 28, 2026. Yordan Alvarez holds the narrowest edge in the 2026 batting average race at .322, narrowly ahead of Luis Arraez near .313–.316 and Otto Lopez at .314, as confirmed by official MLB and ESPN leaderboards through mid-August. Alvarez combines elite contact with power production across 120-plus games for the Astros, while Arraez sustains his trademark low-strikeout approach after a midseason trade and Lopez has posted consistent line-drive contact for Miami. The bunched probabilities reflect small, fluctuating gaps that remain vulnerable to late-season hot streaks, opposing pitching matchups, or minor slumps over the final six weeks, with traders viewing the outcome as highly sensitive to remaining at-bats and consistency rather than any single dominant factor.

Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.