MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)
- Team A
- 50%
- —
- Team B
- 50%
- —
- Team C
- 50%
- —
- Team D
- 50%
- —
- Team E
- 50%
- —
- Other
- 50%
- —
- Milwaukee Brewers
- 32%
- +6.8
- Cincinnati Reds
- 31%
- —
- Miami Marlins
- 28%
- +6.0
- Kansas City Royals
- 20%
- +16.4
- Arizona Diamondbacks
- 20%
- —
- Philadelphia Phillies
- 19%
- +2.5
- Baltimore Orioles
- 17%
- +0.5
- New York Mets
- 17%
- −13.1
- Chicago White Sox
- 16%
- —
- Houston Astros
- 14%
- —
- Athletics
- 11%
- −0.7
- Tampa Bay Rays
- 8%
- —
- Detroit Tigers
- 6%
- −2.5
- Los Angeles Dodgers
- 4%
- −2.0
- Cleveland Guardians
- 4%
- −10.9
- Pittsburgh Pirates
- 4%
- —
- Toronto Blue Jays
- 4%
- —
- Washington Nationals
- 4%
- −12.0
- Atlanta Braves
- 1%
- −2.9
- New York Yankees
- 1%
- —
- Chicago Cubs
- 1%
- —
- Colorado Rockies
- 0%
- −0.7
- Seattle Mariners
- 0%
- −1.8
- Boston Red Sox
- 0%
- —
- Los Angeles Angels
- 0%
- —
- Minnesota Twins
- 0%
- —
- San Diego Padres
- 0%
- —
- San Francisco Giants
- 0%
- —
- St. Louis Cardinals
- 0%
- —
- Texas Rangers
- 0%
- —
Traders currently price "Team A" at 50% for "MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)". Full distribution: Team A 50%, Team B 50%, Team C 50%, Team D 50%. The market has traded $1.3M in total volume and resolves Oct 11, 2026. The tight clustering of implied probabilities across numerous MLB clubs stems from comparable overall ABS challenge success rates, where catcher-initiated overturns (around 58-59%) consistently outperform batter challenges (near 48%) leaguewide. Recent Statcast and Baseball Savant trackers highlight narrow gaps, with clubs like the Diamondbacks, Athletics, Royals, and Reds posting total rates in the mid-to-high 50s through mid-August, fueled by experienced backstops and selective usage patterns rather than dominant edges. Sample-size fluctuations, inning-specific trends, and roster health continue to compress the field, leaving outcomes highly sensitive to late-season adjustments in challenge strategy and personnel.
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