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MACROLIVE

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Inter Miami CF28%
// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES
Inter Miami CF
28%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
15%
Los Angeles FC
12%
Nashville SC
9%
Chicago Fire FC
5%
FC Cincinnati
4%
Seattle Sounders FC
4%
San Jose Earthquakes
2%
Orlando City SC
2%
Houston Dynamo FC
2%
New York City FC
2%
New York Red Bulls
2%
Real Salt Lake
2%
San Diego FC
2%
New England Revolution
1%
Charlotte FC
1%
Columbus Crew
1%
FC Dallas
1%
LA Galaxy
1%
St. Louis City SC
1%
Minnesota United FC
1%
D.C. United
1%
Portland Timbers
0%
Atlanta United FC
0%
Toronto FC
0%
Colorado Rapids
0%
CF Montréal
0%
Philadelphia Union
0%
Sporting Kansas City
0%
Austin FC
0%
VOLUME
$19.6M
24H VOLUME
$857
LIQUIDITY
$876K
RESOLVES
Dec 19, 2026

Traders currently price "Inter Miami CF" at 28% for "MLS Cup Winner 2026". Full distribution: Inter Miami CF 28%, Vancouver Whitecaps FC 15%, Los Angeles FC 12%, Nashville SC 9%. The market has traded $19.6M in total volume and resolves Dec 19, 2026. Inter Miami CF leads MLS Cup 2026 trader consensus as defending 2025 champions, anchored by sustained offensive output and Eastern Conference positioning amid a roster built around proven attackers. Vancouver Whitecaps FC follows closely on the strength of top Western Conference form, high expected goals metrics, and momentum from a 2025 final appearance plus Canadian Championship success. Los Angeles FC and Nashville SC round out early frontrunners through consistent regular-season results and playoff pedigree, while the broader field remains fragmented with no team exceeding 30 percent implied probability. Key differentiators include recent form, conference standings, and roster continuity versus the parity typical of MLS, where midseason injuries, fixture congestion, and playoff matchups can rapidly shift outcomes.

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