NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team
- Cleveland Cavaliers
- 97%
- −1.1
- Team A
- 50%
- —
- Team B
- 50%
- —
- Other
- 50%
- —
- Golden State Warriors
- 3%
- —
- Atlanta Hawks
- 1%
- —
- Memphis Grizzlies
- 0%
- —
- San Antonio Spurs
- 0%
- —
- Houston Rockets
- 0%
- —
- Phoenix Suns
- 0%
- —
- Boston Celtics
- 0%
- —
- Brooklyn Nets
- 0%
- —
- Charlotte Hornets
- 0%
- —
- Chicago Bulls
- 0%
- —
- Dallas Mavericks
- 0%
- —
- Denver Nuggets
- 0%
- —
- Detroit Pistons
- 0%
- —
- Indiana Pacers
- 0%
- —
- LA Clippers
- 0%
- —
- Los Angeles Lakers
- 0%
- —
- Miami Heat
- 0%
- —
- Milwaukee Bucks
- 0%
- —
- Minnesota Timberwolves
- 0%
- —
- New Orleans Pelicans
- 0%
- —
- New York Knicks
- 0%
- —
- Oklahoma City Thunder
- 0%
- —
- Orlando Magic
- 0%
- —
- Philadelphia 76ers
- 0%
- —
- Portland Trail Blazers
- 0%
- —
- Sacramento Kings
- 0%
- —
- Toronto Raptors
- 0%
- —
- Utah Jazz
- 0%
- —
- Washington Wizards
- 0%
- —
Traders currently price "Cleveland Cavaliers" at 97% for "NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved down 1.1 points. Full distribution: Cleveland Cavaliers 97%, Team A 50%, Team B 50%, Other 50%. The market has traded $1.3M in total volume and resolves Oct 31, 2026. James Harden's strong preference to remain with the Cleveland Cavaliers drives the market's heavy tilt toward that outcome. Recent reporting confirms he declined his player option to pursue a new multiyear deal in Cleveland, where his established chemistry with Donovan Mitchell and role in the backcourt align with the team's roster plans. The Cavs' efforts to maintain salary-cap flexibility for other additions have delayed the signing but have not shifted focus elsewhere. Minimal reported interest from other clubs, including the Warriors or former teams, reinforces trader consensus around continuity. A breakdown in negotiations over contract terms or an unforeseen external offer could still alter the path, though current developments show little momentum in that direction.
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