Next James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden
- 22%
- +10.7
- Callum Turner
- 20%
- +3.5
- No Bond chosen
- 19%
- —
- Aaron Taylor-Johnson
- 12%
- —
- Jacob Elordi
- 5%
- −5.1
- Henry Cavill
- 5%
- −1.6
- Theo James
- 5%
- −4.3
- Harris Dickinson
- 4%
- −3.4
- Josh O'Connor
- 4%
- —
- Tom Holland
- 2%
- −0.7
- Paul Mescal
- 1%
- —
- Tom Hardy
- 1%
- −0.8
- Pierce Brosnan
- 1%
- —
- Robert James-Collier
- 1%
- —
- Michael B Jordan
- 1%
- —
- James Norton
- 0%
- −4.8
- Timothee Chalamet
- 0%
- —
Traders currently price "Jack Lowden" at 22% for "Next James Bond actor?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 10.7 points. Full distribution: Jack Lowden 22%, Callum Turner 20%, No Bond chosen 19%, Aaron Taylor-Johnson 12%. The market has traded $75K in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Recent casting momentum and targeted industry buzz have tightened the race for the next James Bond, with Jack Lowden’s market-implied odds edging ahead after high-profile comments from broadcaster Richard Osman highlighted his Daniel Craig-like intensity and Slow Horses pedigree. Callum Turner remains a close second, buoyed by sustained media speculation around his charm and prior franchise experience, while the near-19% probability attached to “no actor chosen” reflects ongoing secrecy around producer Amy Pascal, David Heyman, and director Denis Villeneuve’s process. Auditions scheduled for August and an expected announcement by year-end keep the field fluid; British actors with strong television profiles and screen gravitas currently command trader consensus amid the absence of official frontrunner confirmation.
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