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Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Alexandru Nazare48%
// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES
Alexandru Nazare
48%
Sorin Grindeanu
22%
Radu Burnete
7%
Ilie Bolojan
4%
Siegfried Mureșan
3%
Ionuț Dumitru
2%
Lucian Croitoru
2%
Eugen Tomac
2%
Delia Velculescu
1%
Traian Basescu
1%
Dan Motreanu
1%
Cătălin Predoiu
1%
Ciprian Ciucu
1%
Dragoș Pîslaru
1%
Hunor Kelemen
1%
Șerban Matei
1%
Adrian Veștea
1%
Calin Georgescu
1%
George Simion
0%
Anca Dragu
0%
Lucian Isar
0%
Raluca Turcan
0%
Vasile Dîncu
0%
Alexandru Rafila
0%
Cătălin Drulă
0%
Alexandru Rogobete
0%
Victor Ponta
0%
Mugur Isărescu
0%
Mircea Geoană
0%
Sebastian Burduja
0%
Elena Lasconi
0%
Dacian Cioloș
0%
Emil Boc
0%
Dominic Fritz
0%
Nicolae Ciucă
0%
Marcel Ciolacu
0%
VOLUME
$3.3M
24H VOLUME
$521
LIQUIDITY
$1.5M
RESOLVES
Dec 31, 2026

Traders currently price "Alexandru Nazare" at 48% for "Next Prime Minister of Romania?". Full distribution: Alexandru Nazare 48%, Sorin Grindeanu 22%, Radu Burnete 7%, Ilie Bolojan 4%. The market has traded $3.3M in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Romania's ongoing political crisis following the May 2026 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan has centered trader attention on coalition negotiations to form a new pro-EU government. Alexandru Nazare leads at roughly 48% as the incumbent Finance Minister with reported backing from PNL, USR, and UDMR for a minority cabinet, reflecting his fiscal expertise amid concerns over the leu and EU funds. Sorin Grindeanu holds second at about 22%, buoyed by PSD's parliamentary influence and the party's stated interest in rejoining a revised coalition. Earlier June nominations of Eugen Tomac and Adrian Vestea failed to secure votes, leaving the field open and underscoring the role of parliamentary arithmetic in determining the next prime minister.

Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.