Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

Traders currently price "Mike Mazzei" at 73% for "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 1.3 points. Full distribution: Mike Mazzei 73%, Genter Drummond 21%, Chip Keating 0%, Leisa Mitchell Haynes 0%. The market has traded $448K in total volume and resolves Aug 25, 2026. The August 25 Republican primary runoff between Mike Mazzei and Gentner Drummond drives current trader sentiment, following their advancement from the June 16 primary where Drummond edged Mazzei by a narrow margin amid a crowded field. Recent polls show a close contest, with a late Sooner Survey indicating a statistical tie and earlier surveys alternating slim leads. Mazzei benefits from substantial self-funding exceeding $10 million, a Trump endorsement, and perceived momentum in the runoff phase, contributing to his elevated implied probability. Drummond, the sitting attorney general, highlights his statewide office experience and campaign resources, though trailing in trader consensus. The August 3 debate on issues including taxes, education, and economic development offered limited shifts in positioning ahead of the vote. Other listed candidates remain negligible factors after failing to advance.

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