
Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $50M
- 14%
- —
- $300M
- 10%
- —
- $100M
- 9%
- +1.5
- $200M
- 9%
- —
- $400M
- 9%
- +3.9
- $500M
- 6%
- —
- $800M
- 5%
- +0.5
- $1B
- 4%
- +0.6
Traders currently price "$50M" at 14% for "Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?". Full distribution: $50M 14%, $300M 10%, $100M 9%, $200M 9%. The market has traded $156K in total volume and resolves Jan 1, 2028. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.
