Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

Traders currently price "December 31" at 76% for "Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 3.2 points. Full distribution: December 31 76%, June 30 0%, May 31 0%, July 31 0%. The market has traded $842K in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Romania's pro-EU coalition government collapsed in May 2026 after the Social Democratic Party withdrew support and joined the far-right opposition to pass a no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan by a 281-4 margin. Bolojan has remained in office only as caretaker with limited powers while parliament negotiates a new majority or coalition. Traders tracking the "out by" market appear focused on the slow pace of government formation and fiscal pressures tied to EU funds, with recent volume reflecting expectations around year-end deadlines rather than an immediate replacement. Scheduled parliamentary sessions and any new coalition agreements could shift timelines for a permanent successor.

Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.