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Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

December 313%
// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES
December 31
3%
July 31
0%
April 30
0%
June 30
0%
VOLUME
$2.0M
24H VOLUME
$115
LIQUIDITY
$23K
RESOLVES
Dec 31, 2026

Traders currently price "December 31" at 3% for "Satoshi's identity be proven by...?". Full distribution: December 31 3%, July 31 0%, April 30 0%, June 30 0%. The market has traded $2.0M in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.

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Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.