H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

Traders currently price "No" at 94% for "H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?". The market has traded $190K in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. The House has passed versions of the SAVE Act (H.R. 22 and related measures such as the SAVE America Act) multiple times, most recently in February 2026 by narrow margins, but the bill has remained stalled in the Senate since 2025. Senate rules require 60 votes to advance past a filibuster, and Republicans hold only 53 seats with insufficient Democratic support to clear that threshold. Recent procedural attempts to attach SAVE Act provisions to must-pass legislation, including the NDAA and unrelated measures in July 2026, have not overcome Senate opposition. With no scheduled votes or bipartisan breakthrough before year-end, traders assign a 93.5% probability that H.R. 22 will not become law in 2026.

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