What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
- ↑ $7,600
- 100%
- +7.4
- ↑ $7,400
- 100%
- +8.9
- ↓ $6,600
- 100%
- +8.0
- ↓ $6,400
- 100%
- +7.0
- ↑ $7,800
- 82%
- −0.5
- ↑ $8,200
- 34%
- +4.5
- ↓ $6,200
- 18%
- +0.8
- ↓ $5,800
- 11%
- −2.0
- ↑ $8,600
- 10%
- −1.0
- ↓ $5,200
- 8%
- —
- ↑ $9,300
- 5%
- —
- ↓ $4,500
- 4%
- —
Traders currently price "↑ $7,600" at 100% for "What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 7.4 points. Full distribution: ↑ $7,600 100%, ↑ $7,400 100%, ↓ $6,600 100%, ↓ $6,400 100%. The market has traded $293K in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. The S&P 500 trades near 7,748 as of mid-August 2026, buoyed by projected 20%-plus full-year earnings growth and AI-driven revenue momentum in technology and semiconductor sectors. Analysts have lifted year-end targets to 8,000, citing resilient corporate margins despite forward P/E ratios near 20x. The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% has tempered rate-cut expectations, with markets now pricing possible hikes amid elevated energy costs and inflation concerns. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, upcoming CPI and PPI releases, and continued Q2 earnings reports that could shift implied probabilities for index levels by December.
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