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MACROLIVE

"The Odyssey" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)

530 - 550m63% 11.0pt 24h
// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES
530 - 550m
63%
550 - 570m
22%
510 - 530m
10%
570m+
4%
490 - 510m
1%
<490m
0%
VOLUME
$130K
24H VOLUME
$9K
LIQUIDITY
$16K
RESOLVES
Aug 31, 2026

Traders currently price "530 - 550m" at 63% for ""The Odyssey" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved down 11.0 points. Full distribution: 530 - 550m 63%, 550 - 570m 22%, 510 - 530m 10%, 570m+ 4%. The market has traded $130K in total volume and resolves Aug 31, 2026. Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* opened to a robust $124 million domestic weekend in mid-July and has held exceptionally well, reaching roughly $470 million by mid-August through strong word-of-mouth, an A CinemaScore, and extended IMAX 70mm runs that continue selling out. These factors, combined with its status as the year’s top R-rated title and Nolan’s highest-grossing film, underpin trader consensus around the 530–550 million range by August 31. Additional domestic legs through premium formats and any late-summer audience surge ahead of the China IMAX launch on August 14 support the current market-implied odds, though typical post-summer drop-offs remain the key variable traders are pricing.

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