What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- Tires: Season 3
- 84%
- +43.5
- Show A
- 50%
- —
- Show B
- 50%
- —
- Show C
- 50%
- —
- Show D
- 50%
- —
- Show E
- 50%
- —
- Show F
- 50%
- —
- Show G
- 50%
- —
- Other
- 50%
- —
- Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1
- 10%
- −5.0
- My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3
- 1%
- −1.6
- The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1
- 1%
- −4.1
- The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series
- 0%
- —
- Mourinho: Season 1
- 0%
- −1.4
Traders currently price "Tires: Season 3" at 84% for "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 43.5 points. Full distribution: Tires: Season 3 84%, Show A 50%, Show B 50%, Show C 50%. The market has traded $21K in total volume and resolves Aug 18, 2026. Tires Season 3's full-season drop on August 13 has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward an 87.6% implied probability of claiming the No. 2 U.S. Netflix spot this week. The 12-episode comedy from Shane Gillis and Steve Gerben benefits from strong critical reception, with early reviews praising its sharpened writing, character depth, and evolution beyond prior seasons, alongside Gillis's established fanbase and proven binge appeal from earlier installments. This fresh momentum contrasts with the lower odds on limited series and returning titles like Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes or My Life With the Walter Boys Season 3, which lack comparable recent visibility or chart traction. Traders are monitoring weekly Top 10 updates for confirmation of sustained viewer engagement against other new releases.
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