
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
- ↑ $4,500
- 50%
- —
- ↑ $5,000
- 48%
- −1.0
- ↓ $3,500
- 14%
- +4.5
- ↑ $6,000
- 11%
- +1.5
- ↑ $7,000
- 5%
- —
- ↓ $3,000
- 4%
- —
- ↑ $8,000
- 4%
- —
- ↑ $10,000
- 3%
- —
- ↑ $12,000
- 3%
- —
- ↓ $2,500
- 2%
- —
- ↑ $15,000
- 2%
- —
Traders currently price "↑ $4,500" at 50% for "What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?". Full distribution: ↑ $4,500 50%, ↑ $5,000 48%, ↓ $3,500 14%, ↑ $6,000 11%. The market has traded $1.3M in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Gold futures for December 2026 trade near $4,450 per ounce amid shifting Federal Reserve expectations, with recent tame July CPI data reducing odds of a September rate hike while December hike probabilities remain elevated near 79%. Trader sentiment reflects the hawkish tilt under Chair Kevin Warsh, a stronger USD, and lingering inflation concerns that limit rate-cut bets, capping near-term upside despite resilient central bank accumulation and geopolitical risks in the Middle East. Prices corrected sharply from January's record above $5,500 before stabilizing above $4,400, with upcoming CPI releases, FOMC communications, and energy market developments likely to drive volatility in implied probabilities for year-end levels.
Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.
