Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Traders currently price "Tim Cook - Apple" at 100% for "Which CEOs will be out before 2027?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 74.5 points. Full distribution: Tim Cook - Apple 100%, Andy Jassy - Amazon 12%, Sundar Pichai - Google 10%, Dan Clancy - Twitch 8%. The market has traded $710K in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Tim Cook's confirmed transition from Apple CEO to executive chairman on September 1, 2026, anchors current market sentiment, driving near-certain implied odds for his exit before 2027 amid Apple's push to expand beyond iPhone hardware into AI services. Broader 2026 CEO turnover has accelerated across tech due to investor pressure on AI competitiveness and generational shifts, with notable shifts at Adobe and Disney already resolved. Low single-digit probabilities persist for leaders like Andy Jassy at Amazon, Sundar Pichai at Google, and Sam Altman at OpenAI, reflecting stable board support and lack of announced succession plans. Traders should monitor upcoming earnings calls and any regulatory or competitive announcements that could prompt sudden leadership reviews through year-end.

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