Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Traders currently price "Canada" at 24% for "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?". Full distribution: Canada 24%, India 21%, Taiwan 17%, Israel 17%. The market has traded $363K in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Trump's second-term trade policy has centered on reciprocal agreements secured through tariff threats and negotiations, producing frameworks or finalized deals with the UK, Japan, Indonesia, India, Taiwan, Jordan, and several others by mid-2026. Indonesia's full agreement took effect in February 2026, while Jordan's was announced in July 2026 amid continued talks with Canada over potential revisions tied to USMCA dynamics and fresh tariff deadlines. Ongoing negotiations with the EU, South Korea, Vietnam, and additional partners reflect the administration's focus on reducing deficits and securing investment commitments before the 2027 horizon, with outcomes hinging on bilateral progress and any late-stage breakthroughs or setbacks.

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