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Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Avengers: Doomsday72%
// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES
Avengers: Doomsday
72%
Movie B
50%
Movie C
50%
Movie D
50%
Movie E
50%
Movie F
50%
Movie G
50%
Movie H
50%
Movie I
50%
Movie J
50%
Movie K
50%
Movie L
50%
Movie M
50%
Movie N
50%
Movie O
50%
Other
50%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
27%
Dune: Messiah
0%
Toy Story 5
0%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
0%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
0%
VOLUME
$38K
24H VOLUME
$153
LIQUIDITY
$19K
RESOLVES
Dec 31, 2026

Traders currently price "Avengers: Doomsday" at 72% for "Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?". Full distribution: Avengers: Doomsday 72%, Movie B 50%, Movie C 50%, Movie D 50%. The market has traded $38K in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment for the second-biggest 2026 opening weekend at 71.5% implied probability due to its December 18 release timing, escalating presales momentum, and trailer-driven hype positioning it as a potential all-time record breaker that could edge out or trail only one other title. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s already-completed $360 million domestic debut—second-biggest ever after Endgame—anchors the 27% odds for that outcome, establishing a high bar that few other 2026 releases appear positioned to challenge. Dune: Messiah, Toy Story 5, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping sit near zero amid limited tracking data and later or less event-driven campaigns. Upcoming catalysts include Doomsday’s continued ticket sales surge and any late-year competitor announcements that could alter the narrow window before year-end.

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