Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Traders currently price "Gavin Newsom" at 14% for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?". Full distribution: Gavin Newsom 14%, Tucker Carlson 13%, Kamala Harris 11%, Andy Beshear 11%. The market has traded $1.1M in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Potential 2028 presidential contenders, including Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and JD Vance, have signaled interest through public statements and positioning but have not yet formed exploratory committees or made formal announcements as of mid-2026. Trader focus centers on post-2026 midterm timing, when several figures have indicated they will decide, alongside the DNC's recent calendar vote favoring South Carolina as the first primary contest. This open field after the prior cycle features Democratic rebuilding efforts and Republican succession dynamics, with early announcements before 2027 hinging on polling momentum, fundraising viability, and primary schedule impacts. Minor registered candidates exist, but major-party movement remains limited ahead of November midterms and any late-year developments.

Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.