Who will be arrested before 2027?
- John Brennan
- 28%
- —
- Mahmoud Khalil
- 27%
- −1.0
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
- 23%
- +1.5
- James Clapper
- 14%
- +0.5
- Letitia James
- 13%
- —
- Anthony Fauci
- 12%
- —
- Tom Homan
- 11%
- —
- Lee Jun-seok
- 11%
- —
- Lisa Cook
- 11%
- −0.5
- Loretta Lynch
- 10%
- −0.5
- Brandon Johnson
- 8%
- −4.0
- Susan Rice
- 8%
- −1.0
- James Comey
- 6%
- −1.3
- Candace Owens
- 6%
- —
- Benjamin Netanyahu
- 5%
- —
- Kash Patel
- 3%
- —
- Pam Bondi
- 3%
- —
- John Kerry
- 3%
- —
- Adam Schiff
- 3%
- —
- Bill Clinton
- 3%
- —
- Hillary Clinton
- 3%
- —
- Gavin Newsom
- 3%
- —
- Joe Biden
- 2%
- —
- Barack Obama
- 1%
- —
Traders currently price "John Brennan" at 28% for "Who will be arrested before 2027?". Full distribution: John Brennan 28%, Mahmoud Khalil 27%, José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero 23%, James Clapper 14%. The market has traded $360K in total volume. Recent political and legal developments under the current administration have shaped trader views on this multi-outcome market, with John Brennan, Mahmoud Khalil, and Anthony Fauci among the higher-priced options reflecting ongoing scrutiny of former officials and activists. Heightened immigration enforcement by ICE, including record monthly arrests and detentions through mid-2026, has raised the profile of certain cases tied to border policy and protests. DOJ investigations into prior intelligence and public health matters continue without new indictments in recent weeks, while scheduled congressional oversight and potential court proceedings could influence timelines before the 2027 cutoff. Market pricing captures the uncertainty around which specific individuals might face charges amid shifting enforcement priorities and procedural hurdles.
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