Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

Traders currently price "Petr Yan" at 56% for "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved down 4.5 points. Full distribution: Petr Yan 56%, Merab Dvalishvili 36%, Sean O'Malley 4%, Umar Nurmagomedov 3%. The market has traded $450K in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Petr Yan's status as the reigning bantamweight champion following his unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025 anchors trader consensus at 56.5 percent for him to hold the title through year-end 2026. Yan completed an extended climb back to undisputed gold with that win, giving him the inside track on defenses or rematches amid a stacked division. Dvalishvili sits at 34.5 percent on the strength of his prior multi-fight reign, high activity level, and the unresolved rivalry that points toward a potential trilogy bout. Sean O'Malley's 3.5 percent reflects his recent win and lingering name value but also distance from an immediate title opportunity, while Umar Nurmagomedov, Song Yadong, and Cory Sandhagen trail further due to their positioning in the contender queue and limited paths to the belt before December. The market reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in Yan's current reign against the division's depth and typical title-change volatility.

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