Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Traders currently price "Tom Aspinall" at 52% for "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 1.5 points. Full distribution: Tom Aspinall 52%, Ciryl Gane 36%, Josh Hokit 0%, Alexander Volkov 0%. The market has traded $337K in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Tom Aspinall holds a narrow edge in trader consensus as UFC heavyweight champion at the end of 2026, driven by his status as the undisputed titleholder following Jon Jones' retirement and his strong recent form prior to the eye-poke no-contest against Ciryl Gane at UFC 321. Gane sits close behind after capturing the interim belt with a second-round TKO of Alex Pereira in June 2026, positioning him for a likely unification rematch later this year that could decide the division's direction. Aspinall's recovery from double eye surgery and public acceptance of the bout in Paris underscore the matchup's centrality, while lower-ranked contenders like Alexander Volkov or emerging names such as Josh Hokit register minimal probability due to limited title contention paths in the near term. The outcome hinges on fight scheduling, health clearances, and potential late roster shifts.

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