Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Traders currently price "Carlos Ulberg" at 91% for "Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?". Full distribution: Carlos Ulberg 91%, Magomed Ankalaev 6%, Alex Pereira 2%, Jiří Procházka 0%. The market has traded $999K in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Carlos Ulberg holds the UFC light heavyweight title after a first-round knockout of Jiří Procházka at UFC 327 in April 2026, establishing him as the clear frontrunner for the belt at year-end. His 15-1 record, striking power from City Kickboxing, and status as the division leader underpin the 91% implied probability, especially with Alex Pereira shifting focus to heavyweight and other contenders navigating injuries or recent setbacks. Magomed Ankalaev and Procházka remain realistic threats in potential title bouts, while Ulberg’s post-fight ACL surgery introduces uncertainty around his immediate availability and defenses through the remainder of 2026.

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