Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?

Traders currently price "Sean Strickland" at 59% for "Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?". Full distribution: Sean Strickland 59%, Nassourdine Imavov 27%, Khamzat Chimaev 14%, Dricus Du Plessis 4%. The market has traded $906K in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Sean Strickland holds the UFC middleweight title after capturing it via split decision over Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 328 in May 2026, positioning him as the consensus leader in the end-of-year market. Recent activity, including prior wins over Anthony Hernandez, has reinforced his standing, while his planned December return could solidify or extend his reign before year-end. Nassourdine Imavov ranks as the primary challenger due to strong recent form and prior title-fight negotiations with Chimaev that stalled amid scheduling issues. Chimaev's loss dropped his implied probability, though his prior dominance keeps him in contention. Dricus Du Plessis and other ranked contenders like Joe Pyfer and Brendan Allen trail amid the division's shifting hierarchy and limited remaining 2026 bouts. Trader pricing reflects these confirmed outcomes and the short timeline to resolution.

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