Who will Merab Dvalishivili fight next?

Traders currently price "Petr Yan" at 84% for "Who will Merab Dvalishivili fight next?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved down 3.5 points. Full distribution: Petr Yan 84%, Umar Nurmagomedov 7%, Song Yadong 3%, Payton Talbott 2%. The market has traded $1.2M in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Merab Dvalishvili's next UFC bout is overwhelmingly expected to be a bantamweight trilogy against Petr Yan, who captured the title via unanimous decision in their December 2025 rematch at UFC 323. As of mid-2026, Merab has repeatedly signaled patience for the third fight while Yan controls the timeline, with no other bout officially announced and recent reports confirming the matchup as the priority. This history of two closely contested title fights, combined with Yan's current status as champion, drives the market's heavy lean toward him. Other bantamweight contenders such as Umar Nurmagomedov, Song Yadong, and Cory Sandhagen register minimal implied probability, reflecting their positioning behind the Yan trilogy in the division's title queue and lack of recent scheduling momentum.

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