Who will Petr Yan fight next?

Traders currently price "Merab Dvalishvili" at 88% for "Who will Petr Yan fight next?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved down 1.5 points. Full distribution: Merab Dvalishvili 88%, Sean O’Malley 7%, Song Yadong 2%, Alexander Volkanovski 1%. The market has traded $1.1M in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Merab Dvalishvili holds an 88% implied probability as Petr Yan’s next opponent due to widespread reports that a bantamweight title trilogy bout is targeted for a late-October numbered UFC event in Abu Dhabi. Yan reclaimed the belt with a unanimous decision victory over Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, prompting the Georgian to publicly commit to waiting for the rubber match while sidelining other contenders. Recent statements from both fighters and matchmaking indications reinforce this pairing over alternatives like Sean O’Malley or Song Yadong. Shifts could occur if Yan encounters injury delays, elects a different stylistic matchup, or if the UFC prioritizes fresh title challengers to refresh the division.

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