Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?

Traders currently price "December 31, 2027" at 73% for "Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved down 2.4 points. Full distribution: December 31, 2027 73%, June 30, 2027 50%, December 31, 2026 25%, September 30, 2026 3%. The market has traded $491K in total volume and resolves Jan 1, 2028. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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