Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by August 31?

Traders currently price "↑$180B" at 100% for "Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by August 31?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 48.8 points. Full distribution: ↑$180B 100%, ↑$175B 100%, ↑$190B 74%, ↑$200B 24%. The market has traded $11K in total volume and resolves Sep 1, 2026. Databricks recently closed a $5 billion funding round at a $190 billion valuation in mid-August 2026, up from the $134 billion Series L round completed in December 2025 and following June discussions targeting $165–175 billion. This reflects robust AI-driven demand, with annualized recurring revenue reaching $6.9 billion and growth exceeding 80% year-over-year. Strong secondary market activity and investor appetite for data platform exposure have supported elevated private valuations amid favorable Treasury yields and risk-on sentiment. With the August 31 resolution date approaching, any follow-on capital raises or IPO commentary from CEO Ali Ghodsi could influence near-term implied probabilities in the market.

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