Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?

Traders currently price "↑$170B" at 100% for "Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 5.9 points. Full distribution: ↑$170B 100%, ↑$160B 100%, ↑$180B 97%, ↑$190B 87%. The market has traded $114K in total volume and resolves Jan 1, 2027. Databricks' valuation has climbed sharply on robust revenue expansion and fresh capital inflows, with the company signing a term sheet in July 2026 for a roughly $3 billion strategic round at a $188 billion post-money valuation led by Coatue. Annualized recurring revenue reached $6.9 billion by mid-2026, reflecting more than 80% year-over-year growth driven by AI platform adoption, including products like Genie and Lakebase, alongside enterprise wins and partnerships with major cloud providers. This follows a $134 billion Series L round completed earlier in the year. Traders are monitoring the round's close, potential 2026 IPO timing, and broader AI sector multiples, with secondary market prices implying valuations near recent funding levels.

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