Will Glean's valuation hit __ by December 31?

Traders currently price "↑$7B" at 100% for "Will Glean's valuation hit __ by December 31?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 50.0 points. Full distribution: ↑$7B 100%, ↑$7.5B 65%, ↓$6B 54%, ↓$5.5B 45%. The market has traded $31K in total volume and resolves Jan 1, 2027. Glean's valuation has remained anchored near its $7.2 billion mark from the June 2025 Series F since secondary trading on platforms like Forge has shown limited movement into mid-2026. Primary drivers include rapid ARR expansion to $300 million by May 2026, tripling prior levels amid enterprise adoption of its permissions-aware knowledge graph and agentic features, offset by competitive pressure from Microsoft 365 Copilot and broader AI spending scrutiny. With over $765 million raised cumulatively and more than 1,000 employees, upcoming catalysts center on the late-August Glean:GO conference, potential model expansions, and governance tooling releases that could influence private-market pricing or a new primary round before year-end.

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