Will Revolut's valuation hit __ by August 31?

Traders currently price "↑$110B" at 100% for "Will Revolut's valuation hit __ by August 31?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 14.0 points. Full distribution: ↑$110B 100%, ↑$105B 100%, ↑$115B 61%, ↓$85B 37%. The market has traded $15K in total volume and resolves Sep 1, 2026. Revolut’s recent secondary share sale, initiated in July 2026 at a $115 billion valuation, represents a 53% increase from the $75 billion mark set in November 2025 and serves as the dominant driver of near-term trader sentiment. The fintech reported 2024 revenue of $4 billion, up 72%, with internal projections pointing to $5.9 billion in 2025 and $9.3 billion in 2026, supporting premium multiples amid European expansion and a new French banking license. With the August 31 resolution just weeks away, secondary-market pricing and any final tender closings will determine whether the implied valuation crosses key thresholds, while longer-term IPO targets of $150–200 billion remain secondary to immediate liquidity events. Traders weigh these fundamentals against the inherent volatility of private-company marks, where limited share supply and institutional demand can shift odds rapidly.

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