Will Stripe's valuation hit __ by December 31?

Traders currently price "↓$170B" at 100% for "Will Stripe's valuation hit __ by December 31?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 10.9 points. Full distribution: ↓$170B 100%, ↑$190B 55%, ↑$200B 54%, ↓$160B 50%. The market has traded $80K in total volume and resolves Jan 1, 2027. Stripe's latest tender offer in February 2026 established a $159 billion valuation, reflecting a 49% increase from the prior September mark and a 74% rise year-over-year, driven by $1.9 trillion in 2025 payment volume (up 34%) and progress toward $1 billion annual run rate in its Revenue suite. With full-year profitability achieved in 2024 and no primary capital raises since 2023, the company has used secondary liquidity events involving investors such as Thrive Capital and Andreessen Horowitz to satisfy employee and shareholder demand without pursuing an IPO. As of mid-August 2026, no material updates have altered this pricing, though ongoing payment processing growth and fintech sector multiples remain key variables that could influence any year-end valuation reassessment through additional tenders or market comps.

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