Zambia Presidential Election Winner
- Hakainde Hichilema
- 91%
- +8.0
- Person A
- 50%
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- Person B
- 50%
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- Person C
- 50%
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- Person D
- 50%
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- Person E
- 50%
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- Person F
- 50%
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- Person G
- 50%
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- Person H
- 50%
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- Person I
- 50%
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- Person J
- 50%
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- Person K
- 50%
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- Person L
- 50%
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- Person M
- 50%
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- Person N
- 50%
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- Person O
- 50%
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- Person P
- 50%
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- Person Q
- 50%
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- Person R
- 50%
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- Person S
- 50%
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- Person T
- 50%
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- Person U
- 50%
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- Person V
- 50%
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- Person W
- 50%
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- Person X
- 50%
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- Person Y
- 50%
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- Person Z
- 50%
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- Other
- 50%
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- Brian Mundubile
- 9%
- −8.9
- Fred M'membe
- 0%
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Traders currently price "Hakainde Hichilema" at 91% for "Zambia Presidential Election Winner". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 8.0 points. Full distribution: Hakainde Hichilema 91%, Person A 50%, Person B 50%, Person C 50%. The market has traded $198K in total volume and resolves Aug 14, 2026. Incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema of the United Party for National Development holds a commanding lead in the August 13, 2026, presidential election, supported by pre-election polls showing 55-63% support and early constituency results placing him well ahead of main challenger Brian Mundubile of the National Reconciliation Party for Unity and Prosperity alliance. Traders assign Hichilema overwhelming probability due to his record on debt restructuring, infrastructure investment, and economic stabilization since 2021, which have drawn international backing despite voter concerns over living costs. With 14 candidates on the ballot and roughly 8.8 million registered voters, the contest narrowed to a two-way race, but Hichilema’s incumbency advantages and unified party machinery have limited realistic paths for opposition gains absent major shifts in remaining vote tallies or disputes over the count.
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