Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- 1.8T+
- 43%
- +4.5
- 1.5–1.8T
- 25%
- +1.8
- 1.2–1.5T
- 19%
- +4.9
- 0.9–1.2T
- 7%
- —
- No IPO by December 31, 2027
- 5%
- −0.5
- 0.6–0.9T
- 3%
- —
- <0.6T
- 1%
- −1.7
Traders currently price "1.8T+" at 43% for "Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 4.5 points. Full distribution: 1.8T+ 43%, 1.5–1.8T 25%, 1.2–1.5T 19%, 0.9–1.2T 7%. The market has traded $279K in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2027. Anthropic’s rapid ascent to a $965 billion post-money valuation in its May 2026 Series H round, coupled with the June 1 confidential SEC filing targeting a potential fall 2026 Nasdaq listing, drives trader consensus toward the 1.5–1.8T and 1.8T+ brackets. Strong enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models, run-rate revenue exceeding $47 billion, and surpassing OpenAI as the highest-valued AI lab reinforce expectations of a sizable IPO premium. Secondary market pricing already implies $1.05–1.15 trillion, while the company’s hyperscaler partnerships and benchmark leadership provide further tailwinds. Key near-term catalysts include SEC review progress and broader market conditions that could support or delay the anticipated October window.
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