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Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

1480+92%
// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES
1480+
92%
1490+
74%
1495+
56%
1500+
40%
1510+
16%
VOLUME
$90K
24H VOLUME
$8K
LIQUIDITY
$12K
RESOLVES

Traders currently price "1480+" at 92% for "Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?". Full distribution: 1480+ 92%, 1490+ 74%, 1495+ 56%, 1500+ 40%. The market has traded $90K in total volume. Google's recent Gemini 3.5 Pro sightings in LMSYS Arena blind testing pools in early August 2026 point to active late-stage A/B evaluation, a common precursor to official leaderboard debuts for Pro-tier models. This follows the Gemini 3 series launch in November 2025, 3.1 Pro in February 2026, and 3.5 Flash variants through mid-2026, amid ongoing competition from Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.x leaders and OpenAI GPT iterations on the Arena leaderboard. Trader focus centers on testing timelines, infrastructure leaks, and Google's pattern of incremental Pro releases targeting long-context, reasoning, and multimodal benchmarks before full availability in AI Studio or the Gemini app.

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