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Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

August 3146% 7.6pt 24h
// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES
August 31
46%
August 21
12%
August 14
3%
June 5
0%
June 12
0%
June 19
0%
June 26
0%
June 30
0%
July 31
0%
July 3
0%
July 10
0%
July 17
0%
July 24
0%
July 27
0%
July 28
0%
July 29
0%
July 30
0%
August 7
0%
VOLUME
$998K
24H VOLUME
$40K
LIQUIDITY
$19K
RESOLVES
Jul 31, 2026

Traders currently price "August 31" at 46% for "Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 7.6 points. Full distribution: August 31 46%, August 21 12%, August 14 3%, June 5 0%. The market has traded $998K in total volume and resolves Jul 31, 2026. Google's delayed rollout of Gemini 3.5 Pro continues to shape trader views on the next Pro model release, as the flagship was announced at I/O in May 2026 with a "next month" target that has slipped into August without public availability. Recent July updates prioritized efficient Flash variants like Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite for agentic workflows and robotics, alongside Gemini 3.1 Pro remaining the current production Pro tier. Competitive pressure from faster-advancing rivals has highlighted Google's internal testing focus, while historical patterns of iterative releases suggest potential resolution hinges on verified public API access or app deployment rather than previews.

Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.