Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Traders currently price "↑$1.1T" at 100% for "Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 3.6 points. Full distribution: ↑$1.1T 100%, ↑$1.0T 100%, ↑$1.25T 93%, ↑$1.5T 78%. The market has traded $3.0M in total volume and resolves Jan 1, 2027. Anthropic’s May 2026 Series H round of $65 billion established a $965 billion post-money valuation on a $47 billion annualized revenue run rate, more than doubling its February level and surpassing OpenAI. This capital infusion, backed by major funds including Sequoia and Altimeter, funds expanded compute capacity amid surging enterprise demand for Claude models. With no subsequent private rounds reported through mid-August 2026, trader sentiment for hitting a higher year-end threshold hinges on revenue trajectory, potential IPO timing and pricing discipline observed in recent AI listings, and broader risk appetite reflected in Treasury yields and equity volatility. An IPO could provide a public-market benchmark, though execution risk and comparable multiples remain key variables.

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