Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Traders currently price "Yes" at 90% for "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved down 1.0 points. The market has traded $270K in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Strong market-implied odds for a 2026 foldable iPhone release reflect consistent reporting that Apple's first such device remains on track for a September debut alongside iPhone 18 Pro models. Bloomberg's Mark Gurman and recent supply-chain updates indicate production trials have advanced despite earlier April engineering snags reported by Nikkei, with analysts like Ming-Chi Kuo pointing to a book-style design, thin chassis, and premium pricing above $2,000. Limited initial supply is expected due to manufacturing complexity, but the timeline aligns with Apple's typical fall cadence. Key upcoming catalysts include the September event and any final production ramp confirmations that could solidify or shift trader consensus before year-end.

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